Don’t forget sustainability in the population debate


Don’t forget sustainability in the population debate

Australia’s population will be a major issue at the coming federal election. Not just because of the ongoing problems with Labor’s border protection laws but because Australians are increasingly concerned with the sustainability of our country.

Last year in a rare moment of clarity the Prime Minister made very clear that he ‘believed’ in a ‘big Australia’. He made these comments on the day that his government announced its population target for Australia of 36 million by 2050
It was refreshing to hear a clear statement from this Prime Minister who is often as simple to follow as assembly instructions from IKEA.

However what this clear statement highlighted was a concern that I hear all of the time in my electorate from people who are convinced that we are living beyond our sustainable limits.

My electors are worried that we are risking our own food security by allowing urban development on our best food producing lands.

They are worried that we are living on a dry continent that is struggling to keep up with the current water and energy demand let alone increasing it by 50%.

They are annoyed that driving to the shop or finding a school or hospital close by is increasingly difficult and they fear that their children and grand children will never be able to afford to buy a house.

But most of all they worry deeply that local, state and federal governments are completely ignoring their fears.

I believe sustainability is the challenge of this century.

With a rapid growth in world population particularly in developing countries we face challenges with food, energy and water security. There are not simple answers to these challenges.

By 2050 the United Nations estimates that the globe will be home to nearly ten billion people. Today there are about six and a half billion up from nearly two billion a century ago. The increase is staggering and difficult conceptualise.

But more challenging than this growth is the rising world middle class. Currently there are about one billion people who enjoy a ‘middle’ class lifestyle using about 32 times the amount of resources that those who live in the poorest parts of the world use.

But of course as more countries develop and their populations emerge from poverty, they seek the lifestyle that developed nations enjoy. In China alone each year it is estimated about two hundred million people move from poor rural areas to cities seeking a better standard of life. Inevitably this will mean greater pressure is placed on existing and finite resources.

Of course, we can not bury our head in the sand either and expect we will not grow, but our obligation is to ensure that growth is planned in a manner that sustains our way of life.

That is why I believe we should have an open debate about population growth and a plan for ensuring it is managed. Putting a target before the plan on how to achieve growth is really putting the cart before the horse. We should be debating and planning for how we are going to house, power, feed and water the growing population.

Australia has also been a small country in terms of population but we have also managed to develop a strong and productive economy in spite of that. This is in part because of our natural resource advantage, but also because we have been well educated, innovative and enduring.

The argument that our economy will only continue to be strong by increasing population is wrong. Increasing population without planning for the consequences of that will risk Australia’s future prosperity.

This is a short, medium and long term challenge for Australia and for the world.

We must engage and plan or we will find ourselves explain to future generations why we didn’t act when we had the chance.

 




Comments

David Lloyd
# David Lloyd
Friday, April 30, 2010 6:31 PM
Hi Jamie
Encouraging to see your argument re sustainability. It is a complex and pressing issue that needs far more thought and action than give at present. We need to act as if we were on a "war footing". Howard showed no leadership in this area, and now Rudd is being a wimp. Abbott doesn’t seem to think there’s a problem! We need tri-partisan cooperation and action.

Your comments on the middle class are right on – you/we need to have the courage to challenge this over consumption – this group live well beyond what is sustainable – 2 to 4 extras worlds needed! There seems to be a combination of ignorance and narcissistic values/greed. We certainly need strong leadership and the courage to put into practice what we know is needed.

Some useful reading to help the conversation.

Assadourian, E. (Ed.). (2008). State of the World 2008: Innovations for a Sustainable Economy. London: World Watch Institute.
Hamilton, C. (2010). Requiem for a species: Why we resist the truth about climate change. Crows Nest, New South Wales: Allen and Unwin.
Hansen, J. (2009). Storms of my grandchildren: The truth about the coming climate catastrophe and our last chance to save humanity. London: Bloomsbury.
Lowe, I. (2009). A big fix: Radical solutions for Australia's environmental crisis (2 ed.). Melbourne, Australia: Black Inc.
Stuart, T. (2009). Waste: Uncovering the global food scandal. London: Penguin Books.


Steve Challis
Saturday, May 01, 2010 4:51 AM
Dear Mr. Briggs,
I an delighted to read a not only well reasoned consideration of population growth from a politician of a major party, but surprised to read one so close to my own ideas.
Your dismissal of the often stated idea that population growth is necessary for a strong economy is especially heartening.

Steve Challis
Jenni Wyrsta
# Jenni Wyrsta
Sunday, May 16, 2010 7:26 AM
I hope that protecting widlife and the environment will be given a high priority in this planning, otherwise the future of Australia will be a land of open cut mines and housing estates.
John Stevens
Thursday, June 10, 2010 12:42 PM
Hello Jamie,

The population growth rate of Australia is currently said to be 2.1%.
What will happen if this is maintained into the future?
By 2100, Australia's population will be 142.8 million.
By 2200, Australia's population will be 1.14 billion.
By 2300, Australia's population will be 9.12 billion!!!

I'm quite sure that nobody would attempt to argue that Australia could support 9.12 billion people...that is considerably more than the current total
world population. Clearly something significant must happen before we reach
such an impossible situation.

Future Governments might choose to retain their current approach, and do
nothing about it. In that case, at some time in the future, the population will become resource limited with insufficient water, insufficient food, insufficient energy supplies etc, etc. In short, not enough of anything to provide a dignified lifestyle.

Alternatively, they might (must) put in place some controls to limit (stop)
population growth. If they wait until disaster looms over us, it will be too
late to control the situation. The smaller the population we have at the time
controls are adopted, the easier it will be. The longer we wait, the harder
it will be. There will never be a time when it is easier to do than it is right now.

Then why is there nothing being done about it?
Jack Sandell
# Jack Sandell
Friday, June 11, 2010 10:18 AM
I am interested in genealogy and can trace my family back a mere 200 years. looking forward 200 years what can we expect? A world population of 28billion at the current rate of linear increase, starving? How long will it take for humans to be extinct?
Stephen Nelsen
# Stephen Nelsen
Tuesday, June 15, 2010 9:16 PM
G'day Mr. Briggs and community, I just want to add my voice to the growing number of people genuinely concerned about the consequences of the latest political direction in population expansion. It is so obviously unsustainable from many aspects, including basic natural resources, physical infrastructure and general consumerist "standard of living" attitudes. We're simply not ready. I would like to urge those with tendencies to the biodiversity side, and those with knowledge of ecology and sociology to also speak up, addding weight to the arguments against irresponsible rapid human overpopulation. Thanks, Stephen.
Ans Papini
# Ans Papini
Wednesday, June 23, 2010 2:43 PM
Dear Mr Briggs
Firstly i wish to thank you for aknowledging my email in person. after having read the Blog you made referance to, i feel i am not the only one concerned with the future of this wonderful Country. My major comcern is, Austrailian land and property being able to be purchased by Sovereign countries and overseas busnisses. It's OUR land and it should remain Austrailian owned.
Now i know how the original land owners must feel! Please stop it before it's to late.

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